Research

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Do Billboard Advertisements Increase Voter Turnout? A Large-Scale Field Experiment” (with Donald Green, Lionel Ong, and Aaron Schein). Quarterly Journal of Political Science 19, no. 3.

This paper reports results from a nationwide experiment conducted during the 2020 general election in the United States. A total of 298 billboards were randomly assigned to treatment or control in 155 geographic clusters.  We estimate the impact of billboards on voter turnout, estimating exposure both by geographic distance from billboards and modeled exposure using cell phone data. Using this variety of estimation approaches, we obtain point estimates that are close to zero, with hints of stronger effects among those who reside near treated billboards.  On the whole, it appears that signage does little to raise turnout in high salience elections.

Dissertation Project

The social media ecosystem centers around a three-way interaction involving content creators, content consumers, and complex platform systems. The majority of prior research has focused on platform decisions or conditions and their effects on consumers. I argue that a more holistic framework is necessary to correctly understand the content environment and accurately diagnose its impacts.

Methodologically, I employ a variety of experiments, informed by novel formal modeling and simulations. I aim primarily to establish the importance of content production dynamics: nothing happens on social media until someone posts, and we know little about why the small subset of content creators choose to spend effort creating content, and what steers their decision-making. To complement this, I also show how the platform's relationship with producers parallels and impacts the consumer-facing relationship.

Beyond substantive contributions, my dissertation innovates with new ideas for lightweight and low-cost experimentation on social media. Affordable and ecologically-valid approaches to studying social media and its effects are vital as we move into an era with decreased data access across platforms.

Discordant Engagement: Social Media Incentives Can Polarize Content Production

Content creators on social media compete against each other for algorithmic recommendations. Whether they produce for profit or leisure, increased exposure and engagement positively affect their utility. Despite the abundance of both content and consumers, the number of slots on each individual's feed are ultimately finite, and sophisticated algorithms use sophisticated engagement predictions to place content. In this paper, I present an analytical framework for understanding how consumer interests and algorithmic sorting influence the types of content produced on social media platforms. Building off of a Downsian framework, I model two producers who adjust the content they create in order to maximize their reach, given the production point of their competitor. Unlike typical Downsian models, social media engagement can come both from preferences being very close to content, or very far, what I term concordant and discordant engagement, respectively. I show that polarization of content production can occur with a sufficient prevalence of discordant engagement, even without polarization in the population or producer preferences. I support this finding with observational data and interviews with content creators, including media staffers for Members of Congress.

Terms of Engagement: Supply-Side Field Experiments on Reddit

The content on social media platforms is created almost entirely by users. While much research has focused on how social media content affects users who consume it, it is equally important to understand how platforms and experiences on them affect content producers. Prior research suggests that engagement and platform monetization impact the frequency and type of content that users create. However, this research has typically avoided political content and forums. In this paper, I investigate how a costly engagement signal, Reddit Awards, affects both the production of comments and original posts, in both political and non-political subreddits. I find that Reddit Awards seem to incentivize increased comments for new users, but do little to move veteran Redditors. I find weak evidence for a relationship in the opposite direction for individuals who post, rather than comment. These results suggest that engagement can affect certain types of original content production, including political content. However, posting and commenting are different behaviors that appear to have distinct relationships with engagement and user tenure.

TikTok Audits and Data Donation Experiments

In the early phases of social media, content was a reverse-chronological stream of posts made by selected online connections. Now, all major social media platforms are increasingly moving toward algorithmically-curated content, drawing from a wider pool and sorting to maximize user engagement and retention. While the selected tweets or videos may seem like they fell out of a coconut tree, each item is strategically selected based on a user's activity, and that of all users who came before them. In this paper, I present results from two experiments on TikTok. In the first, I conduct an algorithmic audit to show how engagement signals can alter initial recommendations. I find that effect sizes are conditional on the topic of interest, noting that engagement with political content appears to trigger relatively high rate of related recommendations. In the second experiment, I examine how initial engagement signals persist over time. In the lab, I observe algorithmic behavior over 40 minutes of browsing by treatment-blind users. I find that political recommendations persist for treated accounts, even after significant browsing time. I also present preliminary results for algorithmic effects on user attitudes and experiences.

Other Projects

The P.I.C. Framework: Understanding the New Information Environment

With Tamar Mitts

A literature review of social media and politics research, presenting an analytical framework to study the interaction between producers, consumers, and platform intermediaries. We present data on the distribution of research across topics, actors, platforms, and countries.

Creating and Testing Classifiers for Civic Health: A Browser Extension Experiment

With George Beknazar-Yusbachev, Mateusz Stalinski, Jonathan Stray, Julia Kamin, and Ceren Budak

A mulit-platform browser extension experiment testing the impact of toxic content on attitudes, behaviors, and mental health.

The Prosocial Ranking Challenge

With a LOT of amazing people

A massive, competition-based research project inspired by the Strengthening Democracy Challenge. Using a multi-platform browser extension, we experimentally evaluate both the practicality and efficacy of several prosocial alternative ranking algorithms implemented on Reddit, X, and Facebook. More information can be found here